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Doomwatch: Recessions in the UK, Looking back and peering forward – 3. 1980-81

Posted by Gavin Galloway on June 29, 2009
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After 1974-5, it wasn’t long before the UK found itself in another economic downturn at the start of the eighties. Once again the combination of Oil price rises and global slowdown caused recession.

This time it took the form of a period of intense pain followed by strong rebound:

  • Manufacturing production declines 15% in 1979-83
  • Unemployment rises to a peak of 11% in 1986, declining rapidly thereafter
  • Growth of GDP per capita averages nearly 4% in 1985-88

thatcher

However a very different set of politicans were at the helm. Margaret Thatcher’s government focused on enterprise culture and the replacement of the post-war consensus:

  • Market as key driver
  • Privatisation and deregulation
  • Individual enterprise
  • Reduced role of state (and unions)

Thatcher memorably said that “there is no such thing as society”. Certainly the society was changing, with the emergence of ‘Yuppies’ widening the gap from a growing ‘underclass’. In 1986 a Gallup Poll found that 10% gave “getting rich” as their main goal in life. A report on Social Trends in 1988 cited that “inflation and unemployment are seen as ever present threats; a sizable minority from the lowest income groups were sceptical that any general improvements in the economy would benefit them”.

maslow-80-81

However the latter part of the 1980’s were favourable to UK business: the unions were tamed, the workforce was energised by the “cold bath” of 1980-81, deregulation gave business its head, and government coffers were bolstered by tax incomes from North Sea oil.

Key growth markets and industries in the late 1980s:

NATURAL RESOURCES
North Sea oil

IT/ELECTRONICS
Computers, office machines, telecommunications equipment

ENTERPRISE ECONOMY
Business services (eg. Management consultants)
Science parks and industrial parks
Shopping centres

POLARISING SOCIETY
Premium consumer goods (eg. Beer, cars)
Discount grocers (eg. Kwiksave)

OTHER
Pharmaceuticals
Sports equipment (eg. Running shoes)

Innovation in FMCG was focused around austerity,value, and relatively simple offers in 1980/81; thereafter there was a rapid reversion towards fundamental drivers such as convenience, snacking, new technology and affordable aspiration, while health became an important concern. By 1986/87 aspirational lifestyle had re-emerged as a strong force.

innovations-80s

So having revisited the eighties, let’s return to our recession scorecard:

Pros:
Energising of UK Plc
Strong response to opportunities
Robust innovation in FMCG

Cons:
Loss of output as a result of substantial unemployment
Disenfranchised “underclass” make limited contribution to economy and society

Next time we’ll look at the recession which followed a decade later in 1990-91.

Can we really make electric cars viable?

Posted by Amelia Boothman on June 26, 2009
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On Tuesday 23rd June the Government announced the world’s largest ever coordinated trial of environmentally friendly vehicles, which to me is about time, as the technology is not right yet to make these cars really practical, so without a push car companies won’t make the effort. It’s a £25 million project, the aim being to try and achieve what is still very far from reality, to make ultra-low carbon vehicles an everyday feature of life on Britain’s roads, in less than five years. People can take part in long-term trials of everything from electric Minis and Smart city cars to sports cars and electric vans.  

mitsubishielectric-cars-aixam-mega-008

Like any other electrical appliance, the cars have plug sockets instead of a petrol cap, which means the electricity needs to be sustainably sourced to be really green. Anyone interested in taking part will need to meet fairly specific criteria (which I and most of my friends don’t!). “You’ll have to have a garage, for example, and you’ll have to have a fairly modern electrical wiring system,” said Emma Lowndes of Mini UK. A normal socket would take over 10 hours to charge the Mini’s battery! They’re talking with Scottish and Southern Energy about putting in a 32 amp box into homes to make a more realistic charging time of 4 hours. Miguel Fonseca, Managing Director of Toyota in the UK said a hybrid car (which they of course make), which can be driven in electric mode and can also use petrol efficiently, was more ideal because of the lack, of advanced infrastructure to charge an electric car quickly. Unfortunately the hybrid car is not as eco-friendly as we’d all like, it needs two engines for the electric and the petrol modes and many small petrol cars such as our very own James Littlewood’s VW Blue Motion do many more miles to the gallon!

Some of the vehicles can travel for 100 miles on a full charge. One of the featured vehicles was the “Lightning” sports car, a 100 percent electric vehicle capable of reaching 130 miles per hour. Personally I’d love to run an electric car for my 50 miles commute but currently I can’t charge one as I live in a street with no off road parking and many of these car’s batteries would flatten before I got home. I guess its still an eco pipe dream for most of us!

lightning

5 QUOTES RELATING TO “SUCCESS” INSPIRING US IN THE 26TH WEEK OF 2009

Posted by Ned Colville on June 26, 2009
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quotation-quotient3

1. “Success is going from failure to failure without a loss of enthusiasm.” (Winston Churchill)

2. “Success means never letting the competition define you.” (Tom Chapel)

3. “Only those who dare to fail greatly can ever achieve greatly.” (Robert F. Kennedy)

4. “Success does not consist in never making mistakes but in never making the same one a second time.” (George Bernard Shaw)

5. “If you want to succeed you should strike out on new paths, rather than travel the worn paths of accepted success.” (John D. Rockefeller, Sr.)

Borrowed with pride from all over the place.

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